AAA's BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT (44-32 +$2,704 Y-T-D, 223-155 +$28,738 s/ 2013!)
(NHL) Tampa Bay vs. Buffalo,
Money Line: -197.00 Tampa Bay (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Tampa Bay Lightning.

Despite playing just last night, I think that the visitors overall depth and talent level absolutely justify in laying this larger price and look for the Lightning to strike early and often. Tampa Bay is the league's highest scoring team and its power play is a big reason why. Conversely, the Sabres are last in the league in goals per game and in power-play percentage. This is the opener of a home and home set and I look for Tampa Bay to make the most of it tonight. As noted off the top, the Bolts are firing on all cylinders right now, they're 5 for 15 on the power play during this win streak and at 24.1 percent on the season. Buffalo averages just 1.67 GPG. The Sabres are also allowing an NHL-worst 36.5 shots on goal per game. That doesn't bode well for the home side tonight. Note that Tampa Bay is 37-21 (+6.8 units) vs. teams with losing records, meaning that this is a team which wins the games its supposed to. And note that Buffalo is 15-31 (-4.3 units) vs. teams with winning records, meaning that this is a team which struggles vs. the leagues best. In my opinion, this line should in fact be larger, play on TAMPA BAY.

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