This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Toronto Raptors.

Both of these teams are playing well but I think the home side will take care of business and pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover once the final horn sounds. Milwaukee hasn't won three straight on the road in over two years and I don't think will be able to knock off the top dog in the East today. Toronto is coming off a convincing 96-92 home win over Memphis on Wednesday, another big fourth quarter was the difference as the team is averaging an NBA-best plus-5.4 margin in the final frame. Also note that the Raptors are allowing just 21.2 PPG in the final 12 minutes and have outscored all but two teams, sporting a plus-53 advantage in their last five. Let's give the Bucks credit, they look a lot better this year, but I think this sets up as a classic letdown spot after Wednesday's 122-118 triple OT win at Brooklyn. This is a big game for Toronto as it looks to close out a seven-game home stand on a strong point; note that the Raptors are allowing just 93.4 PPG while going 7-1 at the Air Canada Centre. And note that Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last six after three consecutive victories, while Toronto is already 5-3 ATS this year in front of the home town crowd. Look for the RAPTORS to do just enough to cover this spread.

AAA Sports