This is a 10* MW GOM on San Jose State.

I'm not calling for an outright win or anything, but everything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in my opinion.

San Jose State is 8-15, including only 1-8 on the road, while CSU is 18-5, including 12-1 at home.

After six straight SU losses and five straight ATS losses in a row, the visitors come in "under the radar" here and are a bit undervalued. In fact, note that the Spartans have in fact performed well in this spot for bettors by going 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more ATS losses in a row.

Clearly, the Rams are the better team as they enter off three straight SU/ATS victories in a row. That's also significant for us to take note of though as CSU is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row.

With a game at 18-5 SDSU after this, not only does this set up as a natural "letdown" spot for the home side, but also a "look-ahead."

Add those two factors together and you get "TRAP GAME!"

As stated off the top, no outright, but much closer than expected. Grab the points, the play is SJSU.

Good luck, NP