This is a 10* MW TOM on the UNDER CSU/Fresno State.

Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but the overall situation that each finds itself coming into this one, combined with the numbers/trends all point to this contest being much more of a defensive affair.

Colorado State is 16-5, but only 2-4 on the road, while Fresno State is just 9-11, but 7-4 at home.

The Rams have seen the total go OVER the number in four of their last five after pulling away for a 79-71 win over SDSU last time out. But with a home game vs. Boise State mid week, I believe the visitors will get caught looking ahead in the second half and start saving some gas for that important contest.

Fresno State has lost three of its last five games after a 78-69 setback at UNLV last time out. That's five straight OVERS for the Bulldogs, but note that Fresno State has in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight OVERS in a row.

This is an important game for both teams and I'm expecting this sense of competition to translate into a very defensive affair once it's all said and done.

This number is high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP