10* AFC TOTAL OF MONTH: 75% MONEY $URGE!
(NFL) Broncos (DEN) vs. Ravens (BAL),
Total: 44.50 | -108.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is a 10* AFC TOM on the UNDER Broncos/Ravens.

As a situational capper, I constantly keep my eyes open for these types of games. With the majority of the early money once again expecting a higher-scoring shootout here between two teams that have played to plenty of high-scoring OVERs of late, this pick also definitely appeals to my contrarian nature.

Denver is now 5-3 after back-to-back victories. Granted, they've come against the Saints and the Panthers, so we have to take Bo Nix's results with a "grain of salt." And with a game at the Chiefs next weekend, the Broncos have to be careful in this spot to not to be tempted to look past to that high-profile divisional contest.

Baltimore has seen the total fly OVER in four straight, but it had its five-game win streak come to an end in last week's 29-24 upset loss at Cleveland. That fact though is important to us here as bettors though, as note that dating to last season the Ravens have seen the total go UNDER the number in three of their last four off a SU/ATS conference road loss as a favorite.

I'm expecting this contest to be decided by field position and by the men in the trenches.

This number is high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP