The Independence bowl play is on U.Lafayette at 3 eastern. The Cajuns fit the perfect dog system below and have a big Massey Indicator edge we use. They have the better rush defense which is another key indicator in this game. Houston may be without 2 wide outs in this one. Th Cajuns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. They have covered 9 of 12 vs a winning team Houston has failed to cover 6 of 7 in December games including 4 of 6 in Bowl action. A secondary system that has cashed 43 of 51 for 6-6 teams that are not on big win streak vs a team that has less than 10 wins seals it.



SU: 5-1-0

ATS: 6-0-0



Dec 26, 2008 Friday 18 2008 FATL CMCH neutral 0-7 10-3 3-7 8-7 24-21 7.0 67.5 3 10.0 -22.5 -6.2 -16.2 W W U 0

Dec 24, 2012 Monday 17 2012 SMU FRES neutral 0-0 0-22 7-7 3-14 43-10 12.0 60.5 33 45.0 -7.5 18.8 -26.2 W W U 0

Dec 27, 2014 Saturday 18 2014 VTCH CIN neutral 7-7 6-3 14-0 6-7 33-17 2.5 50.5 16 18.5 -0.5 9.0 -9.5 W W U 0

Jan 02, 2015 Friday 19 2014 OKST WAS neutral 14-0 10-0 3-14 3-8 30-22 5.5 57.0 8 13.5 -5.0 4.2 -9.2 W W U 0

Dec 17, 2016 Saturday 16 2016 UTSA NMX away 3-7 3-3 0-6 14-7 20-23 8.0 54.0 -3 5.0 -11.0 -3.0 -8.0 L W U 0

Dec 28, 2016 Wednesday 18 2016 NORW PIT neutral 0-3 14-7 7-7 10-7 31-24 4.0 63.0 7 11.0 -8.0 1.5 -9.5 W W U 0



Dec 23, 2022 box Friday 17 2022 LLAF HOU neutral 7.0 56.5