In the Armed forces Bowl at 7:30 eastern we will Back Baylor on the money line between -160 and -170 not bad for a game where they opened at -6,5 and have no significant injuries. Baylor has a better Sagarin number and a Massey Indicator that we use on their side. They have a good enough rush defense to hold the Vaunted Air Force ground attack at bay. The Fly Boys are ranked #1 in rush defense, However that wont help much against a Baylor team that likes to sling it through the air. Looking at our Bowl system we see that bowl dogs of less than 6 that have 9 wins are 0-3 vs a team with 6 wins if that team is coming in off a loss. Our bigger system plays against bowl dogs of less than 14 that are off a road favored win and scored less than 19 points. Since 199o these teams are 0-9 and lose by nearly 20 per game. Baylor is 22-4 off a spread loss and have covered 5 of 6 neutral field games. Air Force has failed to cover 5 of 7 off a win, 5 of 6 on a Thursday and 5 of 7 after allowing less than 275 yards. Look for Baylor to win


SU: 0-9-0
ATS: 0-9-0

Dec 28, 1991 Saturday 18 1991 COLO ALA neutral 25-30 2.0 -5 -3.0 L L
Dec 25, 1998 Friday 18 1998 WAS AIR neutral 25-45 3.5 -20 -16.5 L L
Dec 31, 2001 Monday 19 2001 LTCH CLEM neutral 24-49 6.5 -25 -18.5 L L
Dec 16, 2003 Tuesday 18 2003 NTX MEM neutral 17-27 4.0 -10 -6.0 L L
Jan 07, 2008 Monday 19 2007 OHST LSU neutral 10-3 0-21 7-7 7-7 17-38 4.0 49.0 -21 -17.0 6.0 -5.5 11.5 L L O 0
Dec 26, 2009 Saturday 17 2009 BCOL USC neutral 0-7 13-7 0-3 0-7 13-24 7.5 44.5 -11 -3.5 -7.5 -5.5 -2.0 L L U 0
Dec 31, 2013 Tuesday 19 2013 VTCH UCLA neutral 7-7 0-7 3-0 2-28 12-42 7.5 46.5 -30 -22.5 7.5 -7.5 15.0 L L O 0
Dec 24, 2015 Thursday 17 2015 CIN SDSU neutral 0-14 0-7 0-7 7-14 7-42 2.5 56.5 -35 -32.5 -7.5 -20.0 12.5 L L U 0
Dec 28, 2017 Thursday 18 2017 VTCH OKST neutral 7-3 0-10 7-14 7-3 21-30 6.0 60.5 -9 -3.0 -9.5 -6.2 -3.2 L L U 0


Dec 22, 2022 box Thursday 17 2022 AIR BAY neutral 3.5 43.0