ROB V: AFC
(NFL) Houston vs. Baltimore,
Point Spread: 4.50 | -103.00 Houston (Away)
Result: Loss
The AFC Power System play is on Houston. Game 465 at 1;00 eastern. The Texans are rested and ready here and they take on a Baltimore team rip for a let down. Baltimore is in the following negative systems. Teams are 0-16-1 ATS on grass after a game as a road favorite off a win in which a game in which more than 30 percent of their opponents first downs were from third down. Teams are 1-20-1 ATS (-5.30 ppg) since Oct 09, 2016 as a favorite on grass off a 10+ win in which they held their opponent to 100-plus fewer passing yards than their season-to-date average. Teams are 0-17-2 ATS (-6.08 ppg) since Nov 27, 2017 on grass after playing as a road favorite when they are off two consecutive games with a positive DPS. Houston has the following positive systems, Teams are 15-1 ATS (6.91 ppg) since Nov 04, 2018 as a road dog on grass when they are off two consecutive games with more than 32 minutes of possession time. This year specific Teams are 16-1 ATS (6.44 ppg) since Jan 20, 2019 as a road dog off a game as a favorite facing an opponent that is averaging at least 380 offensive yards per game. At the very least Houston gets the cover here. Take the Texans.