Taking MIAMI here. Ok. I will tell you all right now I am just at .500 on the year in my NFL. But I am a profitable 8-4 in my Top 10*s. That being said, I am happy to be at .500. As you know I am a big dog guy. The public has been getting rich these first two months of NFL. Time for a change and judging by MNF, a lot of people will be having a miserable holiday season. At first, we look at Cincy and think, wow. -1 on the road! They just put up like 50 points vs the Jets who are suppose to have a great defense. Miami blew a 17-3 over a Pats team that isn't that good right! Let's pound Cincy! That is why we are getting +3 now. Who is giving Miami a shot? Well, I said in my NFL preview that I thought Miami would win the AFC East. I also said Cincy and Houston could challenge Denver for AFC Super Bowl rights. I think Cincy is a very good team. Daulton has been playing extremely well lately. But this is a prime let-down spot in every sense of the word. Off a 49-9 win and with a huge division game at Baltimore up next, they won't be 100% here and are being over-valued. Add in a short week and going on the road. Easy to forget that Miami won at Cincy last year and held NE to just 3 first half points last week. This is a good team. They did win at Indy a place where the Seahawks and Broncos both failed. The Miami defense is talented and we get an OUTRIGHT WIN here with the small home dogs. 10* Money-Bomb MIAMI DOLPHINS