(Pirates +1½) — We really like the underdog in this matchup. The price seems off when you consider that Pirates rookie Paul Skenes has been nothing short of exceptional, with a 4-0 record, a 2.14 ERA and 61 strikeouts in 46 1/3 innings in his first eight starts in the majors. The Pirates are 6-2 in those games, and the losses came by one and two runs. Atlanta left-hander left-hander Max Fried has a 4.76 ERA in six career starts against Pittsburgh.

This is a 1% free play on the Pirates on the runline.