Congrats to the Spurs for winning consecutive home games against the Knicks this past Wednesday and against the depleted 76ers two days ago. I don't see the Spurs having their full intensity as they take to the road for only the second time in two weeks to face Toronto. 

The Raptors have lost three more games than San Antonio, but have a far better point spread record. Toronto, in fact, is tied with the Cavaliers behind Oklahoma City for the second-best ATS mark at 42-27-1. 

The Spurs have failed to cover in eight of their last nine away contests. This marks San Antonio's sixth game in 10 days. Remember, too, the Spurs are minus their two best players - Victor Wembanyama and De'Aaron Fox.

Toronto concluded a 1-3, four-game West Coast trip with a narrow, 117-114, loss to the hot Warriors. That was this past Thursday. So the Raptors have been idle the past two full days. They are well-coached, healthier than San Antonio and have good, young chemistry. They should be up for this very winnable home game. The Raptors also have covered five of their last six home games. 

I'm going to lay short juice and play the Raptors on the money line asking them to merely beat the Spurs at home.