Stephen Nover's NFL Spread Crusher
(NFL) Chargers (LAC) vs. Broncos (DEN),
Point Spread: -2.50 | -118.00 Chargers (LAC) (Away)
Result: Win
Surprised the 4-1 Broncos are home underdogs to the 2-2 Chargers? I'm not. The Chargers are the better team and in the better situation.

Even though this is a division game, the Broncos have to be fat and happy with three victories in a row, including underdog road wins against the Jets and Buccaneers. They just blew out the Raiders further bolstering their complacency.

The Chargers got off to a 2-0 start. But then could manage only 10 points apiece in losses to the Chiefs and Steelers. Those are two excellent defenses, but the Chargers didn't have their star offensive tackles Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt. That not only hurt their ground attack, but Justin Herbert couldn't get enough time in the pocket.

Slater and Alt are expected to play this Sunday. That should make a big difference in LA's offenses.

I like Herbert much more than Bo Nix, who is a dink-and-dunker with a 3-to-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio. The Chargers' defense has been outstanding, surrendering an NFL-low 12.5 points a game and giving up the fifth-fewest yards per game. Denver's offensive line is banged-up, too, with its right tackle and center likely out.

Not only are the Broncos in fat-and-happy mode, but the hungry Chargers are coming off a bye on a two-game losing streak. They are stepping down in class from the Chiefs and Steelers. Jim Harbaugh will have them ready.