Like many teams the Phillies struggle in Colorado. They are just 2-9 in their last 11 games at Coors Field.

Yet they are mid-sized favorites here starting Aaron Nola. I find this line to be mispriced because of that.

Nola wasn't good last season. He had a 4.63 ERA and surrendered 26 homers. He hasn't been good this season in two starts with a 6.75 ERA.

Chad Kuhl gets the start for Colorado. He has a 2.08 ERA this season and is 2-0 lifetime with a 2.70 ERA in five appearances against Philadelphia, including three starts.