Stephen Nover's NFL Saturday Big Ticket
(NFL) Indianapolis vs. Arizona,
Money Line: -127.00 Arizona (Home)
Result: Loss
There's a certain ying/yang, zig/zag flow to the NFL season. Similar to the stock market, there is a buy low time. That time is now to get the Cardinals.

Arizona is better than the 3-4 record it has during the last seven games, while the Colts aren't as good as their 5-1 record during their past six games. The Cardinals looked terrible losing to the Lions last week, while the Colts were outstanding in handling the Patriots last week.

I expect a change-up this week and the price certainly is cheap enough to back the home Cardinals in circle-the-wagons mode.

The teams have had eight common opponents. The Colts went 4-4 SU and ATS against those foes while the Cardinals went 7-1 SU and ATS.

Indy needs Jonathan Taylor to succeed. But the Colts' excellent offensive line has injuries and COVID issues. They could be down as many as three O-line starters. Kyler Murray draws all the attention, but the Cardinals defense has been very good giving up the fifth fewest points in the league.

Murray holds a huge edge on Carson Wentz. James Conner has 16 TD's, just three fewer than touchdown leader Taylor.

I'm expecting an all-out desperation effort by the Cardinals. The Colts, on the other hand, could be flat after last week's performance and deflated knowing their long shot division chances took a huge hit when the Titans upset the 49ers this past Thursday.