Pittsburgh isn't built to cover big margins like this. The Steelers haven't won a game by more than 8 points all season. They are run-oriented. Ben Roethlisberger is not nearly the feared downfield passer he once was, but there's a drop in quality with him being out. I don't hold backup QB Mason Rudolph in high regard.

The Lions are winless, but they are not 0-17 expansion-like bad. The Lions would have two victories if it weren't for long field goals at the gun by the Vikings and Ravens, which needed a record-breaking 66-yarder from Justin Tucker. Detroit is playing hard and with spirit for fiery first-year head coach Dan Campbell.

The Lions upgraded their very weak receiving corps signing Josh Reynolds this week.

The spot is good for the Lions coming off their bye week while the Steelers had to go to the wire to hold off the Bears this past Monday night.

Pittsburgh has failed to cover the past eight times it has been chalk, including an 0-4 ATS mark this season.