The Senators have won each of the last six times they have been a home underdog. Dallas is 0-4 in its last four visits to Ottawa.

The Stars already are dealing with injuries. The biggest injury is to key defenseman John Klingberg. The Stars also are going with backup goalie Anton Khudobin.

There's a chance the Senators will have newly signed Brady Tkachuk in the lineup. But I still like the Senators to pull the upset even without Tkachuk.