An outstanding hitter's park. Two lower-tier starters. Unreliable bullpens.

But no this isn't a misprint. I like Under in this Mets-Reds game with a pitching matchup of Jerad Eickhoff versus rookie Vladimir Gutierrez.

The oddsmaker knows the marketplace isn't looking to play this Under. So I find value with the total above 10.

Consider:

The Mets are second-to-last in the majors in runs scored. They are 25th in homers. Francisco Lindor is out with an oblique injury. Gutierrez is off an impressive start holding the Brewers to one run on five hits in six innings. Cincinnati's bullpen has shown improvement lately. The Reds may have found a reliable closer in Heath Hembree. He has 52 strikeouts in 31 innings.

The Reds are averaging only 3.1 runs in their last seven games. Their two best hitters are Nick Castellanos and Jesse Winkler. Castellanos has missed the last two games because of a right wrist injury. He's questionable here. Winkler is in a slump batting .203 with two homers in his last 154 plate appearances. Eickhoff has seen limited duty. This will be only his second start of the season. This is an opportunity to prove he's a big league starter. He likely won't have many other chances if he doesn't pitch well here.

Weather-wise there's a cross-wind blowing at seven mph.