Sure, home-court is huge for the Suns. The Zig-Zag is on their side, too. It's their turn to win. However, the Suns face numerous issues that put me on the underdog Bucks for this Game 5. I've summarized them into five points:

1. Giannis Antetokounmpo is showing no ill effects from his injury. He's actually playing the best basketball of his career, which is saying a lot since he's the two-time league MVP. Antetokounmpo gives the Bucks the best player on the court. Superstars win NBA championships.

2. The Bucks are bigger and more athletic. Milwaukee has exploited that to shoot 31 more field goals and 19 more free throws than the Suns during the first four games. The Bucks are dominating the offensive glass while averaging nearly eight more shots per game than Phoenix. The Suns took a major hit when backup big man Dario Saric suffered a torn ACL and was lost for the series. The Suns are at a severe disadvantage when Deandre Ayton isn't on the court - and he can't play every minute.

3. Turnovers. The Bucks are winning the possession battle by forcing more turnovers. Chris Paul, bothered by the great defense of Jrue Holiday and perhaps still hindered by a left wrist injury, has committed 15 turnovers during the last three games. Paul hasn't had a three-game turnover stretch that bad in seven years.

4. Momentum. The Bucks have it. Their confidence is way up.

5. Shooting percentage. The Bucks shot 40 percent from the field in Game 4. The Suns made 51 percent of their field goals. Yet the Bucks still won by six points. The shots are there for the Bucks. Holiday is a much better scorer than he's shown in this series. So is Kris Middleton. I expect Milwaukee's accuracy to go up.