Stephen Nover's NBA Game 4 Big Ticket - 68% NBA Hot Streak
(NBA) Phoenix vs. Milwaukee,
Point Spread: 4.50 | -108.00 Phoenix (Away)
Result: Loss
The first three games of this NBA championship series have all been decided by double-digits. We're overdue for a close game. That should come here as each team now has a full feel of their opponent. 

This is a very even series now that Giannis Antetokounmpo has shown he's back at his elite level. 

Milwaukee punched back after falling behind 2-0 in the series with a resounding, 120-100, Game 3 home win on Sunday. Now it's the Suns' turn to respond, which I believe they will. The last time the Suns lost two in a row was three series ago when they dropped Games 2 and 3 against the Lakers. Since then the Suns have gone 10-3 versus the Nuggets, Clippers and Bucks. 

That's remarkable resiliency to go with three stars on the court, Chris Paul, Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton. That's two more stars than the Bucks have. Milwaukee's strength in this series is its size and depth. The Suns are short-handed behind Ayton with backup Dario Saric out for the season after tearing his ACL in Game 1. Ayton must play major minutes. He didn't during Game 3 because of foul trouble. He should be fresh with three days in between Game 3 and Game 4 instead of the normal two days. 

Saddled with five fouls in a game for the first time in the postseason, Ayton only played 24 minutes on Sunday. The Bucks, especially Antetokounmpo, took full advantage dominating the paint and attacking the rim at will. Antetokounmpo alone shot 17 free throws in Game 3, which was more than the entire Suns team got to shoot from the foul line. 

Not helping matters for Phoenix was Booker had his worst game of the series going just 3-for-14 from the floor. He hadn't had that low of a scoring game during the entire calendar year of 2021. The Suns, who had the second-highest shooting percentage during the regular season, missed 22 of 31 shots from 3-point range. The Bucks' three best players - Antetokounmpo, Kris Middleton and Jrue Holiday - were a combined 28-of-51 from the field and made 16 of 20 free throws in Sunday's victory. 

Middleon and Holiday aren't likely to play as poorly as they did during the first two games of the series. However, they aren't likely to produce ''A'' level games either against the Suns' tough defense. 

The Suns scored 118 points in each of the first two games of this series when they were home. Maybe they don't reach that number again being on the road. But they sure should score more than 100 points. I doubt Booker is out of rhythm a second straight game and I doubt Ayton encounters foul trouble a second consecutive time having avoided it throughout the playoffs while dominating the Clippers and playing Denver superstar Nikola Jokic to a standstill. 

Holiday is a solid two-way player. Perhaps even underrated. But he's not vintage Chris Paul, which is what Paul has been during the postseason. 
I see solid value on the Suns in this price range.