Stephen Nover's MLB Saturday Free Play
(MLB) Colorado vs. San Diego,
Point Spread: 1.50 | -133.00 Colorado (Away)
Result: Win
I'm as much a fan of Fernando Tatis Jr. as the next guy. I also know the Rockies are dog crap on the road at 7-34. They've also dropped nine straight at Petco Park.

But there are some below-the-surface elements that make Colorado worthy of a small investment when taking 1 1/2 runs on the run line.

Like the current form of the starting pitchers.

German Marquez has been brilliant during his last four starts for the Rockies allowing only three earned runs in 29 innings. Marquez has given up just nine hits while striking out 25 during this span.

Joe Musgrove, on the other hand, has gotten battered during his past two starts surrendering 10 earned runs in nine innings. Musgrove has permitted a combined 15 hits/walks and three homers during this time frame. He reached the 100-pitch count, too, for just the second time this season during his last start five days ago against the Nationals.

If given 1 1/2 runs during their last 23 games, the Rockies would be 18-5.

(Editor's note: Fresh off winning his American League July Game of the Month by 11 runs with the White Sox on Friday night, Stephen Nover has found his MLB Total of the Year on today's card. Take advantage of Stephen's expertise, elite analysis and hot big-play hand to score another huge profit in addition to this free selection.)