Sooner or later, the Diamondbacks will win a game. They've lost by two or fewer runs in six of their last nine games. 

But the bottom line right now is Arizona has dropped 19 of its last 22 games, including the past 10. This is the Diamondbacks' longest losing skid in 11 years.

So as long as the lay price is manageable, which it is here, I'm going to fade Arizona. 

Cardinals starter Carlos Martinez is having a solid season. He's held four of his last five opponents to two earned runs or fewer. He holds a career 2.51 ERA versus Arizona. 

The Diamondbacks are going with Matt Peacock, who is making only his third big league start.