Stephen Nover Free NFL Sunday Play
(NFL) Denver vs. Carolina,
Point Spread: 4.50 | -112.00 Denver (Away)
Result: Win
Down Christian McCaffrey and D.J. Moore plus possible defensive starters due to a COVID-19 outbreak, the 4-8 Panthers have no business being this high of a favorite. 
Denver also is 4-8, but the Broncos showed last week they are still fighting hard covering against the Chiefs in a 22-16 road defeat. 
The Broncos are minus their two top cornerbacks with A.J. Bouye suspended and Bryce Callahan out with a foot injury. They also are down injured cornerback Essang Bassey, who was drawing playing time covering the opponent's slot receiver. But I trust defensive guru Vic Fangio to put together a solid game plan. 
All is not lost for Fangio in the secondary as the Broncos have a pair of talented safeties - Justin Simmons and Kareem Jackson - and defensive end Shelby Harris is back healthy to bolster the Broncos' defensive line. 
The key is Drew Lock, who has been a turnover machine. If Lock doesn't turn the ball over, I like Denver's chances of winning straight-up. What I appreciate about Lock is he looks to extend plays and will take downfield shots, something meticulous, short-passing Teddy Bridgewater rarely does. 
This is only the third time Carolina has been favored this season. They lost both times straight-up in that role by seven points at home to the Bears and by eight points to the Falcons at home. 

(Editor's note: Long-time NFL maven Stephen Nover is looking to beat the NFL for the 24th time in the last 27 years. Stephen is 5-1 on his last six NFL premium plays and has five premium plays going today in the NFL along with this free selection.)