Through two weeks, the NFL is on a record scoring pace with an average of 50.4 points per game. That's the highest mark since the 1970 merger between the AFL and NFL. It's not a fluke. There is new leadership in the NFL's officiating department. It's clear their emphasis - perhaps league mandated -- is to only call obvious penalties. Because penalties are at their fewest in 18 years. 
This has helped result in Overs covering 66 percent at 21-11. I expect another Over in this matchup being a nationally televised stand alone Thursday night game featuring offenses that are much better than their defenses. 
Jacksonville is a top-10 scoring team averaging 28.5 points. Gardner Minshew has underrated receiving targets and running back James Robinson has been one of the season's early surprises. The Dolphins have faced quarterbacks Cam Newton and Josh Allen. Neither is known for their accuracy. Miami allowed them to go 39-of-54 passing for 72.2 percent with a 10.6 yards per attempt and a 4-to-0 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Those two combined to rush for nearly 100 yards, too, with two rushing touchdowns. 
Miami is likely to be without its top cornerback also as Byron Jones has a groin injury. 
Ryan Fitzpatrick is a good quarterback to have going for you when he's going against a bad defense and you're betting an Over. Fitzpatrick isn't afraid to throw deep. He attacks and also is careless with the ball resulting in interceptions. 
Fitzpatrick should be throwing a lot because Miami has a bad run-blocking offensive line and the Jaguars once strong secondary has been gutted. Jacksonville only has two sacks, too. 
This is a far easier defense for Fitzpatrick to solve after Miami opened against the Patriots and Bills. The Jaguars gave up 363 passing yards to the Colts in Week 1 and were torched for four TD passes by Ryan Tannehill last Sunday.