The Yankees are hot. The Astros are not. This just comes down to trusting Justin Verlander and getting a low enough price to back him.

Houston is 21-5 in Verlander's last 26 road starts. The Astros are 8-1 the past nine times Verlander has pitched on the road versus an above .500 opponent. He has beaten the Yankees four of the last five times he has faced them.

Lefty J.A. Happ goes for New York. He is 6-0 in his last eight starts, but with a 4.29 ERA during this span. Happ has been lucky.

The Astros are 16-6 against lefty starters this season.