Lance Lynn versus Homer Bailey is a great pitching matchup - if this were 2012. Those two were good back then when they were in the National League and before they had arm problems.

Now they are journeymen in the American League and far from locks to remain in the starting rotation. Lynn has a 5.48 ERA. He's coming off a season-high 118-pitch count against the Astros this past Friday where he surrendered three homers. Lynn has a 5.13 ERA in seven career starts against the Royals.

Bailey has a 4.83 ERA. That's actually his lowest ERA in five years. He's facing a Texas squad that leads the majors in runs scored and has scored 16 runs in its last three games. The Over is 13-5-1 in Texas' last 19 games.

Both team's bullpens rank among the worst. The weather forecast is a plus for the Over, too, with wind blowing to center at 12-15 mph.