Stephen Nover's NFL Sides Play of the Week
(NFL) Detroit vs. Chicago,
Point Spread: 7.00 | -114.00 Detroit (Away)
Result: Loss
Sitting two games behind the Bears and Vikings in the NFC North Division, the Lions desperately need to win this game. They should play with a strong sense of urgency. So the effort should be there.

I like getting this many points in this division rivalry. The Lions have owned the Bears beating them nine of the last 10 times, including the past three.

Chicago is much improved this season. But the Lions have the superior quarterback. That's huge. The Bears rely first on their ground attack. Detroit's ranks 30th in run defense. The Lions, however, have improved their rush defense after trading for defensive lineman Damon Harrison. If you discount a 70-yard run by Dalvin Cook, the Lions would have held the Vikings to 58 yards rushing on 22 carries for a 2.6 yard average last Sunday.

This line is inflated because Matthew Stafford was sacked 10 times in the Lions' 24-9 road loss to the Vikings. That sack figure is an outlier, though, as in their previous seven games the Lions allowed just 13 sacks, an average of fewer than two per game.

Line value, quarterback, history and sense of urgency are all on the Lions' side here.