The last time these teams met was opening night in Ottawa. Auston Matthews had the greatest scoring debut of any rookie in NHL history scoring four goals for Toronto. The Maple Leafs still lost.

I don't see Matthews getting anywhere close to four goals this time around, but I do envision the Senators having an easier time winning.

The Senators are off their best win of the season beating the Penguins, 4-1, two days ago. A key to their victory was the defensive job center Jean-Gabriel Pageau did on Sidney Crosby. He also held Connor McDavid scoreless in the game before that and can keep Matthews from doing damage.

Toronto is off a 4-2 upset road win against the Rangers last night. The Maple Leafs were aided by hot goalie Frederik Andersen, who made 34 saves versus the Rangers. However, Andersen isn't scheduled to be in the nets tonight. Instead Curtis McEhinney will make his first start in goal for Toronto. It's a huge drop-off. The journeyman is 1-4 career-wise against the Senators.

The Senators have dominated this series at home winning the past five times.