South Alabama is bowl eligible with six victories. This is the Jaguars' final regular season game and they are grasping for air playing for the seventh consecutive week. The Jaguars had to play South Carolina, a physical SEC team, last week raising their fatigue factor.

I don't see the Jaguars having the stamina and incentive to hang in against Navy's vaunted triple- option offense operated by Keenan Reynolds, who has the third-most rushing touchdowns by a quarterback in NCAA history. Reynolds had a monster game last week accounting for seven touchdowns - six rushing - in a 52-19 waltz over Georgia Southern. South Alabama ranks 76th nationally in run defense.

Navy has picked up its game going 3-1 after a three-game losing streak. The Midshipmen are fresh, too. This is just their second game this month. The Midshipmen are 8-1 ATS following a victory.

Yes, Navy has a huge look-ahead game in its annual battle versus Army. But that game has been pushed back a week until the second week of December. Navy has a bye next week so an all-out effort should be forthcoming, which the disciplined Midshipmen usually can be counted on. A victory here gives Navy six wins and all but assures the Midshipmen of going to the Poinsettia Bowl in San Diego.

South Alabama plays in Mobile where three naval bases are located. So Navy is going to get a lot of crowd support. South Alabama has failed to cover in its last five home contests.