PREMIUM
Situational Rout MLB
(MLB) Brewers (MIL) vs. Rockies (COL),
Total: 11.00 | -120.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 11.00 | -120.00 Over
Result: Win
#953/954 ASA PLAY ON 10* Over 11 Runs – Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies, Monday at 8:40 PM ET - The Rockies Austin Gomber is coming off a rough month. It was not a case of a start or two skewing the numbers either. Gomber was consistently bad throughout June and we expect the Brewers to light him up. Gomber enters this one having been charged with at least 4 earned runs in 4 straight starts. In his 23 innings in June he allowed 35 hits. This also was not a case of home field (pitchers nightmare Coors Field) doing him in either. Gomber had 4 of 5 June starts on the road and yet still got rocked. The Brewers are expected to start Bryse Wilson in this one. Wilson is off a quality start but this was at home. He made 3 road starts in June and all were bad. Wilson was charged with 15 earned runs in 15.2 innings in his 3 June road starts. Here he faces a Rockies team that, though they struggle on the road, hit the ball very well at home. Colorado is off a 2-1 loss in most recent home game but the 15 home games leading into that one saw Colorado average 6 runs scored per game! Milwaukee is off a 6-game home stand in which they averaged 5 runs scored per game. Their 6 games before that were all on the road and the Brewers also averaged scoring 5 runs in those 6 games! Given that this game is at Coors Field, they should top that average yet we also look for the Rockies to answer them run for run. Per our computer math model, the highest probability is in the 12 to 13 range for runs in this one. Over is the call in this one Monday evening.