#954 ASA PLAY ON Philadelphia Phillies -125 over Arizona Diamondbacks, Friday at 6:40 PM ET - The Phillies have the best record in the National League this season and they also are facing a struggling left-handed starter today that commands some respect from the betting markets yet he has not pitched like he deserves it this season. That is creating some solid line value here as the Phillies are at home and Taijuan Walker shows the betting markets a rather unimpressive overall ERA so the value is there. Walker has been pitching better here in June with 13 hits against 15 strikeouts in his 16 innings! He has a combined 13-3 record in home starts the last 3 seasons combined. Walker was 7-2 with a 3.55 ERA in his home outings for Philadelphia last season. The Diamondbacks Jordan Montgomery is off a good start but it was against the league-worst White Sox! Montgomery entered that start with 17 earned runs allowed in 12 innings over 3 starts. Also, 32 hits in 18 innings over his 4 starts prior to the good one against Chicago. Now he faces a very powerful Phillies lineup known for being particularly tough at Citizens Bank Park. Also, he has a 6.08 ERA in night starts with opponents hitting .322 against him. The Phillies bullpen ERA ranks 7th in the majors and the Diamondbacks bullpen ERA ranks 21st. The Diamondbacks are about a .500 team this season but have only won 37.5% of their games when facing teams with a winning record. The Phillies have won 72.5% of their home games this season. When you consider numbers like that you can see why we have incredible value here at home with the Phillies at a low price on the money line. It is not mis-priced rather the markets are very anti-Walker but the Phillies right-hander has been better of late. Also, the Phillies have the better overall lineup and better bullpen and homefield edge and revenge from last year's NLCS loss to Arizona that knocked them out of the playoffs. The Phillies are the bet in this one early Thursday evening.