Late-Breaking Blowout MLB
(MLB) Brewers (MIL) vs. Angels (LAA),
Total: 8.50 | -115.00 Over
Result: Loss
#967/968 ASA PLAY ON 4* Over 8.5 Runs – Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Angels, Monday at 9:38 PM ET - The Brewers are expected to start Carlos Rodriguez here and he struggled in his recent MLB debut. Looking at his minor league stats this does not come as a big surprise as he pitched well through AA ball but then got in trouble once he hit the AAA level. That has continued now at the major league level and he gave up 7 hits and lasted only 4 innings in his first start for the Brewers. After struggling against the Blue Jays last week, more of the same expected here against Los Angeles. We expect that the Angels will get to him as they have been scoring better for an extended stretch. After the Angels 13-6 loss yesterday, they have had 6 of last 7 games total at least 11 runs. The Angels have scored an average of 6 runs in those 7 games! The Brewers have won 6 of 9 games and scored 4.2 runs in those 9 games. They will face Jose Soriano and he is 1-4 with a 5.54 ERA in home games this season. Given the pitching match-up and the fact that the Angels have an AL-worst 5.50 bullpen ERA, we are expecting each team to get to the 4-run mark here and we see at least 9 runs as a result in this one. Our computer math model shows a range of 10 to 11 as the most likely occurrence with the final run tally here and many simulations show a final run tally in the range of a dozen runs here. Over is the call in this one in Monday late night action.