#978 ASA PLAY ON Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 on the Run Line (+105) over Kansas City Royals, Saturday at 9:10 PM ET - The Dodgers won last night's game but only by a run but we are projecting a blowout here. It was interesting to us that of over 100 pitches in his last start, only 7 were swinging strikes for Seth Lugo. His strikeout numbers are down and his earned runs are up in recent starts. In Lugo's last two for the Royals he has allowed 9 earned runs in 13 innings! Lugo did allow 2 homers in most recent road start also. The Dodgers counter with Yoshinobu Yamamoto here and he has allowed only 19 earned runs in 71 innings ever since his 2nd start of the season! Yamamoto has been fantastic and the Royals are 12-20 this season against teams with a winning record! The Dodgers are 32-19 in night games this season. Kansas City has lost 12 of 18 games and 11 of the last 15 losses have been by a multi-run margin. LA, prior to yesterday, had delivered 31 multi-run wins out of their last 37 wins. We like the odds on a big win here for the home team given numbers like that. There is a reason Los Angeles is so heavily favored on the money line even though the Dodgers barely snuck out the 1-run win last night and it has led to particularly solid value on the run line in this one. Great spot to grab the solid value with the stronger team in a great spot and available at small plus money by laying the -1.5 runs! We will take it! Lay it!