ASA play on UNDER 169 Las Vegas Aces at Dallas Wings, 8 PM ET - Our Math Model has a number of 164.7 total points being scored in this game and we agree with it’s assessment. Las Vegas is 2nd in the WNBA in offensive efficiency at 1.063-points per possession and 6th in DEFF. Dallas holds the 5th spot in OEFF at 1.040PPP and are 9th in defensive efficiency. The Aces are the fastest paced team in the league, the Wings are 6th at 79.4 possessions per game. This is a rematch from last year’s playoffs in which the Aces swept the Wings 3-0 on their way to a Championship banner. We are not sold on the Aces this season as they’ve faced a weak schedule with two games against the Mercury, one versus the Sparks and one against the Fever. Those 4 games are against the worst teams in the league, other than the Mystics. Dallas has faced a slightly tougher schedule, but this will be their biggest test of the season. The Aces weakness early in the season has been their 3PT defense as they have allowed opponents to hit over 41% of their 3-point attempts, 12th worst in the league. Dallas can’t take advantage of LV’s weakness though as they attempt only 15.4 3-pointers per game, making 33.3%. It won’t be easy for the Wings to score on the interior either as the Aces allow foes to make just .42.9% of their 2PT field goals, best defensive number in the WNBA. Dallas also makes a living on the offensive glass with the best O-board rebound percentage in the league, but Las Vegas is 1st in defensive rebounding percentage. These two teams combined for a few higher scoring games a year ago but the majority of those came in Las Vegas. When they met 3 times in Dallas, they produced total points of 125, 188 and 158. We like UNDER here.