#919/920 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 7.5 Runs – Seattle Mariners @ Oakland Athletics, Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET - Very quietly Oakland actually has a home slugging percentage that ranks 10th in the 30-team majors. The Mariners road slugging percentage ranks right in the middle at 15th in the majors. Though neither team is an offensive juggernaut, they can do damage in the right situations as those rankings reflect and this is one of those spots. George Kirby is a solid pitcher but the Mariners right-hander is again struggling on the road just like he did last season. He is much stronger when he is pitching in Seattle. On the road, Kirby has been charged with at least 4 earned runs in 4 of his 6 starts including 3 in a row! In his last 3 road starts, Kirby has a 7.41 ERA! Last season Kirby had a batting average against of .277 on the road compared to .212 at home! The Athletics counter with Mitch Spence in this one. Spence had solid success out of the bullpen this season but his last 3 appearances have been starts and he has averaged only 4 innings per start and been a little shaky at times. Spence has a 4.19 ERA at home and opponents hitting .274 against him at home. Spence is a rookie and had a rather high ERA in the minors each of the last two seasons as well and we are certainly not sold on him as a major league starter just yet! Spence is facing a hot Mariners team that has won 7 of 8 games and scored 5.3 runs per game in the 7 victories! The Athletics last dozen home games have featured 8 games that totaled at least 9 runs and we only need 8 to cash in the wager on this one! Oakland has scored an average of 4.5 runs per game at home this season and with how hot Seattle has been we can't see anything less than a 5-4 game here as both pitchers get a bit roughed up. Our computer math model shows a range of 9 to 10 as the most likely occurrence with the final run tally here and many simulations show a final run tally in the 11 range. Over is the call in this one Tuesday night.