ASA top play on 10* UNDER 206.5 Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves, 8:30 PM ET - We are in the minority on the Under here, but we don’t see these two teams getting to 200+ points. The T’Wolves defense has been one of, if not the best in the league the entire season. The Wolves allowed 1.09 points per possession this season, which was the best in the NBA. They faced the Suns and Nuggets in the playoffs who were both top 9 in offensive efficiency ratings this season and still allowed just 1.095PPP. Minnesota was locked in defensively against the Nuggets in 4 of the seven games in that series, holding Denver to 99 or less points. In three of those games, they limited the Nuggets to 90 or less points. Minnesota is also playing at a much slower rate in the playoffs with 93 possessions per game compared to 98 in the regular season. The Mavericks are also playing at a slower tempo going from attempting 89.7 field goals per game in the regular season to 83.7 in the Playoffs. Defensively the Mavs became a much better unit down the stretch of the regular season with a defensive Net rating of 105.7 in their last ten games. In the playoffs the Mavs are allowing 1.105-points per possession which is 5th best among the postseason teams and only 1 spot worse than Minnesota. Dallas is coming off two series against the Clippers and Thunder who both ranked top 4 during the regular season in offensive efficiency. Minnesota was 16th in OEFF during the regular season. Game 1’s of the Conference Finals that have this low of a posted total have stayed Under in 4 of the last five. We like UNDER here.