#956 ASA PLAY ON Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 on the Run Line (-155) over Cincinnati Reds, Thursday at 10:10 PM ET - Dodgers are a 3 to 1 favorite on the money line but we get value by utilizing the run line. The Dodgers are off a loss but this followed having won 17 of 21 games and 20 of last 22 wins have been by 2+ runs. LA has an average margin of victory of 4 runs in their 29 wins this season! The Dodgers have averaged 5.3 runs per game this season and are one of the top hitting teams in the majors! The Reds are one of the worst hitting teams in the league and they are hitting only .218 on the season! Compare that to a Dodgers team that has a slugging percentage of .462 and batting average of .262 to lead the majors so far this season! HUGE difference and, speaking of huge variances, the Reds have a mediocre bullpen while that is a strength of the Dodgers. Also, LA is starting Tyler Glasnow and he is 6-1 with a 2.53 ERA this season. The Reds are starting Brent Suter here but he is more of an opener and Nick Martinez is likely to get most of the work since Nick Lodolo was put on the DL. Martinez has a 4.86 ERA this season and has been quite hittable! Big edges in this one and a home blowout is our call. We think we're getting some nice value in laying -1.5 runs in this one and getting a price in the -155 range with the Dodgers. Los Angeles is 5-0 the last 5 times they have entered a game off a loss. Great spot to grab the solid value with the much stronger team at a fair price and 1.5 runs! Lay it!