NBA TV Totals Titan
(NBA) Bucks (MIL) vs. Suns (PHO),
Total: 223.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
ASA play on OVER 223 Milwaukee Bucks at Phoenix Suns, 10 pm ET - Our numbers suggest the oddsmakers were correct on this opening line of 230, hence we like the value with this OVER wager. Our math model is projecting 228.3 total points in this game and even when we crunch the numbers on each teams last 5-games we get an OVER of 224.1. Both teams have slowed their pace in their last 5 games but with these two teams we don’t need a track meet to cash the OVER. That’s because these are two of the best 3-point shooting teams in the NBA. The Bucks rank 3rd in 3PT% at 38.3%, the Suns are 2nd at 38.4%. Phoenix is the 8th most efficient offense in the NBA on the season averaging 1.169-points per possession, the Bucks are 14th at 1.149PPP. Both offenses are trending up in their last five games with both having OEFF numbers higher than their season numbers. These two teams met just over a week ago in Milwaukee and produced 269 total points, in large part because of great 3-point shooting. The Suns hit 14/33 3’s for 42%, the Bucks went 24 of 41 from Deep for 59%. Even without Lillard or Beal in the lineups for each team we expect a game closer to league average than not.