ASA play on UNDER 234.5 San Antonio Spurs at Toronto Raptors, 6pm ET - The Spurs roll in with a 112.4 offensive rating and a 98.2 pace, facing a Raptors defense rated at 116.4. Flip it, and the Raptors bring a 112.7 offensive rating and 98.1 pace against San Antonio’s 117.5 defensive rating. Crunching the numbers we have this game totaling 223.1 points. That’s a comfy 10-point cushion under 234. Both teams play at a middle-of-the-road pace—Spurs at 98.2 and Raptors at 98.1—nowhere near the league’s fastest teams, which of course limits scoring chances. The Spurs’ offense isn’t exactly lighting it up at 112.4, and while Toronto’s D isn’t elite at 116.4, it’s enough to keep things in check. On the other side, the Raptors’ 112.7 offensive rating isn’t scaring anyone, and San Antonio’s 117.5 defensive rating, though not stellar, should hold up against Toronto’s attack. When these two met back in early February, they combined for just 221 points, a game that stayed low despite a decent shot volume, hinting at a trend of tighter scoring in this matchup. Sure, both defenses have holes, but neither offense is explosive enough to push this into the mid-230s without a freak shooting night. With pace and efficiency trending modestly, the UNDER 234 feels like the sharp play tonight.