#166 ASA PLAY ON UAB +4 over Navy, Saturday at 12 PM ET - This is one of the best situational spots on the board in our opinion. UAB had last week off so 2 full weeks to prepare for Navy’s offense which is key since this is not an offense most teams see on a weekly basis. Navy, on the other hand, is coming off a big upset win over Memphis 56-44 last week and they have Air Force next week. We were on Navy last week in that spot as Memphis was in a poor situation on the road for the 2nd straight week after upsetting Florida State a week earlier. In that game, Memphis actually outgained the Middies by 94 yards and had 11 more first downs. Prior to facing Memphis in a perfect spot last week, Navy had played FCS Bucknell and Temple, one of the worst FBS teams. Now they take the road for the first time this season vs a team that really needs a win after losing @ Arkansas in a fairly close game 37-27 the week before their bye. Despite their 1-2 record, UAB has outgained their opponents in YPG and YPP margin this season. Their offense should do some damage vs a tired Navy defense that was on the field for a whopping 95 snaps last Saturday. When these 2 met last season Navy was a home underdog and upset UAB. Now they are laying points in the road just a year later which is too large of an adjustment according to our power ratings. We like UAB here.