#924 ASA PLAY ON Seattle Mariners +105 over New York Yankees, Wednesday at 9:40 PM ET - The home / road dichotomy relating to these two pitchers as well as their current form combine to give us some solid line value here. Nestor Cortes starts for the Yankees here and he has a 4.81 ERA on the road this season. Bryce Miller starts for the Mariners here and he has a 6-3 record with a 1.99 ERA in his home starts this season! Additionally, Cortes has averaged only 4.1 innings in his last 3 starts and he gave up 5 earned runs in one of those outings and struggled with command in the most recent outing though he escaped with minimal damage over his 5-inning start. Miller is 4-1 with a 2.16 ERA since the All-Star break and opponents hitting only .190 against him in those 10 starts. Incredibly, Miller has allowed 2 earned runs or less in 13 of his last 14 home starts. In those 13 starts he has allowed only 12 earned runs! Yes, essentially an average of 1 earned run per start other than 1 exception in his last 14 home starts. Miller, as you can see, loves pitching in Seattle. The Yankees are still trying to secure the AL East but the Mariners are fighting for their playoff lives as they cling to fading hopes on a Wild Card spot. Seattle got hammered 11-2 yesterday but is a perfect 6-0 the last 6 times they have been at home and coming off a loss. The Mariners had won 12 of 16 home game prior to yesterday's loss. Prior to Tuesday, the Yankees had lost 7 of last 11 played away from Yankee Stadium. Also, prior to yesterday's win, the Yankees were 0-5 the last 5 times they entered a game off a win in which they scored at least 5 runs. That run is now 1-5 but here our computer math model showing high probability that run will now be 1-6 as a gem from Miller will be a key catalyst as well. Take Seattle!