#963/964 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 8 Runs - Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians, Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET - Twins are starting Zebby Matthews here and the rookie is struggling to adjust to the MLB level. Things are not getting any easier either as he certainly has not been trending the right way either. Matthews has allowed 15 earned runs in only 10.1 innings over his last 3 starts. The Guardians also have a starting pitcher that has strong odds of struggling this evening as well. Gavin Williams mixes in a quality start every once in a while but that appears unlikely here as he has struggled badly in his last 2 starts with one knocking him out in the first inning and the next one seeing him struggle to make it through 5 innings. Overall Williams has struggled in 5 of his last 8 starts with 22 earned runs allowed in 23.1 innings over those 5 starts. Certainly Cleveland has a strong bullpen and a great closer but their closer Emmanuel Clase would be pitching a 3rd straight day if he is called upon here. Certainly this is doable for him but yet is not something he has done very often this season. As for the Twins, their bullpen ERA ranks 22nd in the majors and they may be needed early here the way Matthews is going. Yesterday's game was a 4-3 Cleveland win but the teams combined for 18 hits. Also, the Twins won 3 of 5 and scored 6 runs per game in the 5-game stretch before yesterday's loss. The Guardians have won 6 of 8 games and scored an average of 4.8 runs in the 6 wins. Cleveland has won 6 of 9 at home and averaged scoring 6 runs per game in the 6 victories. We get a low total to work with because this ballpark is not known for high-scoring games but because of the pitching match-up and the way both teams have swung the bat a little better of late compared to usual, we feel this is exceptional line value here. Per our computer math, the highest probability in this one is for a range of 10 to 11 runs here. Over is the call in this one early Tuesday evening.