#902 ASA PLAY ON New York Mets -1.5 on the Run Line (+115) over Washington Nationals, Monday at 7:10 PM ET - The Mets look to bounce back off a couple tight losses at Philadelphia over the weekend. Being back home will help and facing a bad Nationals team will also help. New York was red hot and had won 12 of 14 before the B2B losses to the Phillies. 10 of the Mets last 11 wins by at least a 2-run margin. Washington has won 3 straight but they just faced a bad Marlins team. Prior to those 3 wins however, the Nationals had lost 8 of 12 and 16 of 26. Washington's last 21 losses have included 17 by 2 or more runs. The Nationals are expected to start Jake Irvin and he is off a rare quality start as that one was preceded by Irvin allowing 30 earned runs in 37.2 innings. Overall he has a 5.63 ERA since the All-Star break. The Mets likely starting Sean Manaea here and he has allowed only 19 earned runs in his last 10 starts and those starts averaged 6 innings so he is giving up 1.9 earned runs per start his last 10 starts and those outings averaged 6 and 1/3 innings! Maneaa is in fantastic form and the Mets have the better bullpen and much better lineup in this match-up too. On the season the Mets slugging percentage ranks 5th and the Nationals 13th out of the 15 National League teams. Great spot for a big home win as the Nationals are 32-53 against teams with a winning record this season and the Mets had been so hot before those two tight losses to the Phillies. Given numbers like the ones we pointed out above you can see why we are very comfortable laying the 1.5 runs on the run line here. This one looks like a home blowout! Lay the run line in this one!