ASA play on UNDER 55.5 SMU at Nevada, Saturday, 8 PM ET - Nevada won just 2 games a season ago and has a futures market of 2.5 wins this season. That alone tells us just how bad this team will be again in 2024. The Wolfpack have many deficiencies including an offense that averaged just 18.4PPG (119th) / 303.1YPG (119th) / 4.3YPP (127th) / 16.5YPPT (109th) last season. They return starting QB Lewis but that’s not a great thing considering he threw for just 1,313 yards last season with 2 TD’s to 6 INT’s and had a passer rating of 33.3. The Wolfpack will rely on their running game with two returning starters in the backfield. This Nevada offense produced 14 or less points in 6 games a year ago and our projections have them scoring around that number here. SMU has 8 starters returning on offense that scored 36.4PPG a year ago (10th) and averaged 446YPG (18th). But they weren’t necessarily a big play offense ranking 37th in Yards Per Play at 6.0. The Mustang return their three top rushers including Jaylan Knighton who rushed for over 750-yards last season. SMU averaged 176.5RYPG (35th) and will use their advantage in the trenches against a Wolfpack defense that had problems stopping the run a year ago. SMU allowed just 19.2PPG a season ago while allowing just 4.5YPP (7th). Nevada will be better defensively with new coach Jeff Choate, but the Pack will struggle to score. SMU has no reason to run the score up late in this game and will look to stay healthy. It all adds up to an UNDER bet.