NFLX Blowout Smash
(NFL) Saints (NO) vs. 49ers (SF),
Money Line: -108.00 49ers (SF) (Home)
Result: Win
#430 ASA PLAY ON San Francisco Pick'em over New Orleans, Sunday at 8 PM ET - The Niners are coming off a 17-13 loss @ Tennessee last week in a game where none of their starters played. Even with that, San Fran outgained Tennessee on a YPP basis (5.3 to 4.9) but ran 14 fewer offensive snaps. Both of the 49er TD drives were 70+ yards while Tennessee has a 15 yard TD drive after a SF turnover which was the difference. Head coach Shanahan has said he’s playing his starters this week at home including QB Purdy who did not see the field last weekend. The rotation behind Purdy is solid with Josh Dobbs, who started 13 games last year for Arizona & Minnesota, along with Brandon Allen who has some solid NFL experience. New Orleans is coming off a win last week 16-14 on a last second FG vs Arizona. The Saints were lucky to come away with a win in that one as they were outgained by 40+ years and on a YPP basis 4.8 to 4.3. They were also outrushed by the Cards 4.7 YPC to 3.5 YPC, not ideal facing a 49er team that finished 4th in the NFL in rushing last year. The QB rotation for New Orleans isn’t as strong as San Fran with rookie Rattler and 2nd year man Haener as the options behind starter Derek Carr. It will also be the 2nd straight weekend the Saints travel to the west coast after facing Arizona on the road last week. The Niners are the deeper team and we like the fact they are coming off a loss. They should play with some urgency at home in this one and all we need is an outright win. Take San Francisco on Sunday night.