#925/926 ASA PLAY ON Over 8.5 Runs - St Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals, Friday at 8:10 PM ET - The Royals are expected to have Michael Lorenzen on the mound for this one. He was recently acquired from Texas and his debut with Kansas City was a good one but it came against a Tigers team that often has been struggling to score runs. Lorenzen entered that start against Detroit having come off a July in which he had a 5.49 ERA. Also that tougher month followed a bad start to wrap up his June as well as he allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings in that one. We look for the Cardinals to get to him here while the Royals bats also should enjoy success tonight as well. Kansas City will be facing veteran Miles Mikolas. The St Louis starter enters this one with a 5.12 ERA on the year and this followed a 4.78 ERA last season for Mikolas. He certainly has not been dominant the last couple years and his current form is not good. He has allowed 15 earned runs on 30 hits in 21.1 innings over his last 4 starts. Mikolas is likely to struggle again here as the Royals enter this one with a 7-3 record in the last 10 games (and scoring 6.4 runs per game in this stretch). Taking a look at the last dozen games for KC, 9 of the 12 have totaled 10+ runs and our computer math model, unsurprisingly given the factors above, is showing strong probability for double digits in runs in this one. The Cardinals last 14 games averaged 10 runs each and featured 9 that reached at least the 9-run mark and that is the number we are currently working with in the marketplace on this one. We like the value here given that as well as the trending of Royals games and the metrics based on this pitching match-up. Over is the call in this one Friday evening.