#909/910 ASA PLAY ON Over 8.5 Runs - Houston Astros at Texas Rangers, Monday at 8:05 PM ET - First off we will look at the starting pitchers here. Hunter Brown got destroyed when he faced the Rangers earlier this season and that was a road start for him at Texas. Brown allowed 8 hits plus walked 4 in just 3 innings while being charged with 5 earned runs. Overall, he has not been as effective on the road as he has been when at home. Brown is coming off a rough home start versus the Pirates and has allowed 24 hits in 18 innings in his past 3 road starts. Andrew Heaney gets the start for Texas here. The Rangers lefty has been shaky against the Astros this season including allowing 6 earned runs in under 4 innings of work when he faced them here in Arlington earlier this season. Heaney enters this start off consecutive rough starts and has given up 10 earned runs in about 9 innings on the hill over his last two starts. The Astros and Rangers are known for high-scoring games when they have met this season. Prior to the last two games being unders, 7 of the first 8 meetings this season totaled 9+ runs. Those 8 games averaged 11.6 runs a game. Our computer math model is showing the highest probability in the 10-run range for the total runs scored in this one. We know the Astros have been trending under of late but the Rangers enter this one on a 9-game stretch in which all 9 games totaled 9+ runs! Their bullpen has struggled during this stretch. All of the factors above translate to great value available here with this low total. Over is the call in this one Monday evening.