#974 ASA PLAY ON Houston Astros -1.5 on the Run Line (-105) over Pittsburgh Pirates, Wednesday at 8:10 PM ET - This is a great spot with a huge pitching edge. The Astros have lost 3 straight games but are a perfect 3-0 since mid-May when they enter a game on a losing streak of 3+ games. Houston was on a 43-25 run prior to this 3-game losing streak and we look for them to bounce right back here. The Astros are starting Framber Valdez here and he is 5-2 at home this season. He had a tough May but since then has given up 2 earned runs or less in 7 of his last 10 starts. The Pirates are starting Jake Woodford here. He performed well on a minor-league contract after previously pitching with the White Sox earlier this season. The trouble is, just like his starts earlier this season with the White Sox, Woodford has not performed well at the MLB level. Woodford had a 10.80 ERA earlier this season for Chicago. Also, last season for St Louis, Woodford had a 6.23 ERA in 15 games (8 starts). Opponents hit .314 against him last season with the Cardinals and he got hit hard with the White Sox earlier this season too. Now his debut with the Pirates and we expect his struggles to resume at the MLB level. 47 of 55 Houston wins have been by a margin of 2 or more runs. 18 of 26 Pittsburgh road losses by a margin of 2 or more runs this season. Big edges all around for the home team here. There is a reason Houston is so heavily favored on the money line here and it has led to particularly solid value on the run line in this one. Great spot to grab the solid value with the home team in a great spot and available at very small juice by laying the -1.5 runs! We will take it! Lay it!