#961 ASA TOP PLAY ON Cleveland Guardians -110/-115 over Kansas City Royals, Thursday at 8:10 PM ET - Kansas City is only 9 games behind the Guardians in the division and KC does have a winning record on the season. However, there are a lot of differences between these teams and this includes the long-term trend of how these teams have been playing as well as how they have performed against other winning teams. Cleveland is 23-12 against teams that have a winning record this season while Kansas City is 17-23 against teams with winning records this season. In late May, the Royals were 34-19 but they have since gone just 10-19. KC is also off a win here but they have won consecutive games just one time since late May! Another reason to fade them here off a win. The Guardians, on the other hand, were a solid 24-16 to start the season but have since got even stronger as they have gone 27-10 since then! That is even with a loss yesterday! Since the middle of May they have only had 2 losing streaks - 2 games and 3 games - so a bounce back is expected here! The pitching match-up one could argue is equal with Michael Wacha and Ben Lively. The key here is that games are about much more than starting pitching yet that gets so much emphasis in the marketplace. Here we take advantage of that as the Guardians have the #1 bullpen ERA and the Royals have the #22 bullpen ERA which is about 2 runs higher than Cleveland's! Also, we talked about the difference in how these teams are playing right now and over the last 30 days the Guardians team batting average is 10th while the Royals is 25th! Cleveland had won 7 straight before yesterday's loss and they have won 3 straight series including knocking off a strong Orioles team (2-1 in the series) even with the loss on Wednesday. The Guardians have high probability for the winning ways to resume here per our computer math model. Many indicators, as you can see above, are in favor of the road team at a very fair price in this one! Lay the pick'em price with the Guardians! Take Cleveland!