Game of the Month MLB 10*
(MLB) Colorado vs. Houston,
Point Spread: -1.50 | -121.00 Houston (Home)
Result: Win
#976 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Houston Astros -1.5 on the Run Line (-130) over Colorado Rockies, Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET - This is a great spot with a huge pitching edge. The Astros have won 5 straight games and have been on a long-term surge. Houston has won 26 of 42 since their rough start to the season. Now they are at home where they have won 7 of 9 games and they are hosting a Rockies team that year in and year out is one of the worst road teams in the league in recent seasons. Colorado is 11-27 on the road this season and enters this game having lost 16 of 22 overall. The Astros have 38 wins this season and 33 of them have been by at least a 2-run margin so we feel especially comfortable laying the run line here. Houston won the first two games this season between these teams and those wins were by a combined score of 20 to 6. The Rockies 51 losses this season have included 40 by at least a 2-run margin. The Rockies bullpen ERA ranks dead last in the majors. The Colorado starter, Austin Gomber, is in dreadful current form. Gomber has allowed 19 earned runs in 17.2 innings spanning his last 4 starts and 3 of the 4 outings were on the road so these numbers were not inflated because of Coors Field. In fact, on the season, Gomber has been worse on the road than at home as he is 1-3 with a 5.05 ERA away from home. The Astros Hunter Brown has been in top form of late while Gomber is winless with a 9.68 ERA in his 4 June outings! Brown, on the other hand, has a 2.45 ERA in his last 9 starts spanning May and June! Brown has dominated his last two starts with 0 walks and 15 strikeouts and only 1 earned run in 13 innings! Brown and the Astros enter this game with confidence riding high and they are home. The Rockies back on the road where they have struggled again all season including losses in 6 of last 9 games and they were outscored a combined 43 to 16 in the 6 losses. Big edges all around for the home team here. There is a reason Houston is so heavily favored on the money line here and it has led to particularly solid value on the run line in this one. Great spot to grab the strong value with a surging team at home and hosting a road-adverse foe. This is especially true with the bet available at a modest, yet reasonable, price by laying the -1.5 runs! We will take it! Lay it!