#917/918 ASA PLAY ON Over 8.5 or 9 Runs - Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves, Wednesday at 6:35 PM ET - Interestingly this pitching match-up features former college teammates. Our take, though we feel the future is bright for each, is that neither one of them are quite ready for the big-time. Spencer Schwellenbach has struggled in his first two outings for the Braves and he did skip the AAA level of the minors to get to this point. He had mostly pitched at the single A level and had very little AA experience before getting called up to the Braves. As for Cade Povich, he has only one MLB start and it was a disaster and he had some rather big ERA numbers in the minors as he tends to have command issues and also gives up too many big hits! Recent ERA numbers in the minors for Povich included 4.46 and 6.94 at AA Bowie and a 5.36 ERA last season at the AAA level. The Braves rank 11th in the majors for slugging percentage against lefties and will give Povich some problems here! As for Schwellenbach, he has the unenviable task of facing an Orioles team with a top-ranked .451 slugging percentage on the season! Baltimore has won 15 of 19 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game in this hot stretch! The Braves off a shutout loss to the Orioles 4-0 here yesterday and Atlanta has had only 2 shutouts this season. Sandwiched around these 2 recent rare shutouts is a 7-game stretch in which the Braves averaged 5 runs scored per game. Both bullpens are solid this season but this is the right pitching match-up for the Atlanta bats to get going again plus the Orioles to stay red hot. Recent trending is keeping this total low but the combination of factors we mentioned above will prove that low number to be too low as this turns this into a rather high-scoring back and forth battle. Our computer math model projecting 10 to 11 runs as most likely totals here. Over is the call in this one Wednesday evening.